Free Statistics Division Webinar: Empirical Root Cause Analysis – March 29, 2017 at 2:00PM Eastern Time

Join the Statistics Division on Wednesday, March 29rd at 2:00PM Eastern for a webinar to be given by Matthew Barsalou

This webinar will describe how to conduct an empirical root cause analysis. A brief mention of reasons for performing a root cause analysis will be given followed by typical tools. A case will be made for using empirical root cause analysis. The correct application of the scientific method will also be explained. This includes concepts such as Exploratory Data Analysis for hypothesis generation as well as the attributes of a good hypothesis. John Platt’s version of the scientific method will be explained using examples and these concepts will be combined into a Plan-Do-Check-Act process.

The concept of empirical root cause analysis will be depict in the form of a graphic which will show the various steps to combine Exploratory Data Analysis, the scientific method, and Box’s iterative inductive deductive process into a Plan-Do-Check-Act like method. Examples will be presented to illustrate these concepts. Real world examples will include the analysis of a cracked cable coating, vibration sensor failures and a bushing and bracket failure. This final section of the presentation will provide advice on how both the customer and supplier can better prepare for a complaint. The view of both customers and suppliers will be represented including information the customer must provide with a claim as well as how a supplier can better prepare for a customer issue.

Reserve your webinar seat now.

Call for Webinars

The Statistics Division is seeking volunteers to present one hour webinars on any of the topics listed below as they relate to the Certified Quality Engineer (CQE) Exam. For instance, a presentation on Design and Analysis of Experiments might discuss Factorial Designs and Analysis of Variance. Please click here for more information about the CQE Exam. We plan that these webinars will become part of the Statistics Division body of knowledge to which we may refer any society member. To that end, the webinar will be recorded and afterward posted on the division Youtube channel. Anyone interested in presenting such a webinar between April and December of 2017, inclusive, should contact Adam Pintar by email at adam.pintar@nist.gov.

 

  • Acceptance Sampling
  • Probability Distributions
  • Statistical Decision-Making (e.g., hypothesis testing)
  • Relationships Between Variables (e.g., linear regression)
  • Statistical Process Control
  • Process and Performance Capability
  • Design and Analysis of Experiments

Free Statistics Division and Innovation Division Co-Webinar: Statisticians as Innovation Leaders – February 23, 2017 at 12:00-1:00 PM EST

Join the Statistics and Innovation Divisions of ASQ on Thursday, February 23rd at 12:00PM-1:00PM Eastern Standard Time for a webinar to be given by Kymm Hockman, Innovation Process Champion, DuPont Electronics & Communications.

In today’s competitive environment, companies are looking to remain financially strong by increasing their profitability. Innovation leading to business growth is increasingly important. In this presentation we discuss the unique roles that statistics and statisticians can play in facilitating and leading innovation efforts. Data-based decision making, systems thinking, an independent perspective and the ability to influence others all work together to equip and position the statistician to lead growth project work to successful commercial success. Examples from real statistician-led projects will illustrate the role of statistics in making wise commercialization decisions. Finally, recommendations will be discussed on how the statistics field will need to broaden the skill base to prepare innovation leaders of the future.

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/5418952232864458755

Free Statistics Division Webinar Presented in Spanish: Análisis de Capacidad del Proceso (Ppk) en la Ausencia de Normalidad – December 20, 2016 at 9:00 AM Pacific Time

Join the Statistics Division on Tuesday, December 20th at 9:00 – 10:00 AM PST for a webinar to be given by Eduardo Santiago, Technical Training Specialist at Minitab.

El análisis de capacidad de un proceso requiere de la evaluación de la variación y la comparación del desempeño del proceso con respecto a sus especificaciones. Tradicionalmente decimos que un proceso es capaz si la mayoría de las partes que produce se encuentran dentro de especificación, en otras palabras si la tasa de defectos es pequeña. Inicialmente este análisis fue popularizado por Joseph Juran en su Manual de Control de Calidad, y hoy en día la capacidad de un proceso se mide por lo regular en función de su Cpk y Ppk.

A pesar de la simplicidad en el cálculo de dichos estadísticos, la falta de entendimiento de estos métricos de capacidad pueden conducirnos a su malinterpretación o peor aún la manipulación de tales sin haber antes mejorado el proceso. Por lo tanto es importante entender los supuestos necesarios para validar e interpretar los estadísticos de capacidad. En esta presentación, discutiremos cómo validar los supuestos, pero más importante, cómo lidiar con situaciones cuando los supuestos han sido violados.

En este seminario consideraremos tres enfoques para tratar datos que no están normalmente distribuidos:

1) Hablaremos de las transformaciones de Box-Cox y Johnson

2) Discutiremos la utilización de distribuciones no-normales, y por último,

3) Utilizaremos métodos alternos para estimar con mayor exactitud y precisión los estadísticos de capacidad.

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/6731852679051942147

2016 WILLIAM G. HUNTER AWARD WINNER ANNOUNCED

The William G. Hunter Award is presented annually to encourage the creative development and application of statistical techniques to problem-solving in the quality field. Named in honor of the Statistics Division’s founding chairman, the award recognizes an individual who demonstrates Bill Hunter’s most enduring qualities of excellence in statistics as a communicator, a consultant, an educator, an innovator, an integrator of statistics with other disciplines and an implementer who obtains meaningful results.

This year’s winner is A. Blanton Godfrey. He was nominated by Jeffrey Hooper, with testimonials from Maureen Bisognano, Robert Waller, J. Stuart Hunter, Roger Hoerl, Emily Parker, Charles Little, Ronald D. Snee, Craig Long, and Mark J. Fischer. Dr. Godfrey is a statistician and the Joseph D. Moore Distinguished University Professor in the College of Textiles at North Carolina State University. He earned a bachelor’s degree in physics from Virginia Polytechnic Institute as well as a master’s degree and PhD in statistics from Florida State University. He is the Former Head of the Quality Theory and Technology Department of AT&T Bell Laboratories and the Former Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Juran Institute, Inc. He is a fellow of the American Society for Quality, American Statistical Association, World Academy of Productivity Sciences, and the Royal Society for the encouragement of Art, Manufacturers, and Commerce.

Blan Godfrey is well known to many in academia and industry. He has received the Edwards Award and the Distinguished Service Medal. He has given the Deming Lecture and presented the W. J. Youden Address. He is Co-author of Modern Methods for Quality Control and Improvement and Curing Health Care: New Strategies for Quality Improvement. Blan is the Founding Editor of the Six Sigma Forum, a Member of Committee for ISO 9000 and has served on numerous boards and executive committees.

abgodfre

 

 

 

 

 

 

Blan Godfrey

Blan was unable to attend the Fall Technical Conference in Minneapolis. Bill Meeker accepted the award on Blan’s behalf.

Past recipients are available here: http://williamghunter.net/award/.

2016 LLOYD S. NELSON AWARD WINNER ANNOUNCED

The ASQ Statistics Division is proud to announce that the Lloyd Nelson award was presented at this year’s Fall Technical Conference. The award recognizes the paper in the ASQ journal, Journal of Quality Technology (JQT), which has “the greatest immediate impact to practitioners”.

As the editor of ASQ’s Industrial Quality Control, Nelson in the 1960s proposed dividing the magazine into two publications. Eventually, he convinced the board to create the general-interest magazine Quality Progress and the more technical quarterly Journal of Quality Technology. He became the first editor of the Journal of Quality Technology. Nelson was honored in 2001 as one of the first recipients of ASQ’s Distinguished Service Medal. He was named an ASQ Fellow in 1964 and was awarded the Shewhart Medal in 1978. Nelson also served on ASQ’s Awards Board and Shewhart and Deming Medal Committees, and was a long-time member of the Journal of Quality Technology’s Editorial Review Board.

This year, the Lloyd Nelson Award was presented to Russell V. Lenth for his outstanding paper “The Case Against Normal Plots of Effects”, published in Volume 47, Issue 2. Russ attended the Fall Technical Conference in October in Minneapolis to receive the plaque.

The abstract for the award winning paper reads as follows:

When analyzing effects in an unreplicated experiment, normal or half-normal plots of the effects (also called Daniel plots) are a popular way to visualize them and to judge which are active. This article discusses the ways in which these plots can be confusing and misleading. There are other methods available that are less subjective, easier to explain, more powerful, and less likely to be misinterpreted. I recommend against using Daniel plots, even as a supplement to one of these better analyses.

This paper has been given Open Access by the publisher until October 2017 and can be found at the following link: http://rube.asq.org/quality-technology/2015/04/engineering/the-case-against-normal-plots-of-effects.pdf

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Russell Lenth

 

 

2016 SØREN BISGAARD AWARD WINNERS ANNOUNCED

The ASQ Statistics Division is proud to announce that the Søren Bisgaard award was presented at this year’s Fall Technical Conference. The award recognizes the paper in the ASQ journal, Quality Engineering (QE), with the “greatest potential for advancing the practice of quality improvement”.

Søren Bisgaard, Isenberg Professor of Management at the University of Massachusetts-Amherst, died in Boston on December 14, 2009, after a year-long struggle against mesothelioma. Bisgaard was an expert on quality management and applied statistics who had an international reputation. He was recognized for his work and granted several awards, including the Ellis R. Ott Award (1990), the Wilcoxon Prize (1998), the Shewell Award (1981 and 1987), the Brumbaugh Award (1987, 1995, and 2008), the Shewhart Medal (2002), and the George Box Award (2004). He was a Fellow of the American Statistical Association and American Society for Quality and an academician of the International Academy for Quality. Søren was a strong advocate of quality improvement and was for many years the author of the “Quality Quandaries” column in QE.

This year, the Søren Bisgaard Award was presented to Rick Picard, Michael S. Hamada, Geralyn M. Hemphill, and Robert E. Hackenberg for their outstanding paper “Accounting for Nonrandomly Sampled Data in Nonlinear Regression”, published in Volume 27, Issue 2. Rick Picard attended the Fall Technical Conference in October in Minneapolis to receive the plaque.

The abstract for the award winning paper reads as follows:

We analyze data that are “cherry picked” (i.e., nonrandomly sampled) from a population and are then used for regression modeling and prediction. Nonrandom data are encountered in numerous situations, and the application of standard statistical methods developed for random samples can easily lead to incorrect conclusions. A case study is presented to illustrate the related issues, as well as the repercussions of erroneously ignoring the nonrandom sampling.

This paper has been given Open Access by the publisher through September 2017 and can be accessed at the following link: http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/08982112.2014.933979

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Rick Picard

Call for Papers: 2017 Fall Technical Conference. Oct 5-6, 2017 in Philadelphia, PA

We invite you to submit abstracts for presentation at the 61st Fall Technical Conference to be held on October 5-6, 2017, in Philadelphia, PA. The Fall Technical Conference has long been a forum for both statistics and quality and is co-sponsored by the American Society for Quality (Chemical and Process Industries Division and Statistics Division) and the American Statistical Association (Section on Physical and Engineering Sciences and Section on Quality and Productivity). The goal of this conference is to engage researchers and practitioners in a dialogue that leads to more effective use of statistics to improve quality and foster innovation.

See the link before for full details. Deadline is Feb. 28th, 2017

FTC 2017 Call For Papers

October 2016 Issue of the Statistics Digest Now Available!

This issue includes the following:
  • Mini-Paper: Big Data Terminology: Key to Predictive Analytics Success by Mark E. Johnson
  • Feature: Agile Teams: A Look at Agile Project Management Methods by L. Allison Jones-Farmer and Timothy C. Krehbiel,
  • Columns by and Bradley Jones, Lloyd S. Nelson, Gordon Clark, Jack B. ReVelle, Laura Freeman, and Mark Johnson
Read it here now!
Mini-Paper: Big Data Terminology: Key to Predictive Analytics Success
Key Words:
big data, business intelligence, and predictive analytics
Abstract:
With all of the hype surrounding big data, business intelligence, and predictive analytics (with the statistics stepchild lurking in the background), quality managers and engineers who wish to get involved in the area may be quickly dismayed by the terminology in use by the various participants. Singular concepts may have multiple names depending on the discipline or problem origin (business analytics, machine learning, neural networks, nonlinear regression, artificial intelligence, and so forth). Hence, there is a pressing need to develop a coherent and comprehensive standardized vocabulary. Subcommittee One of ISO TC69 is currently developing such a terminology standard to reside in the ISO 3534 series. In addition to the technical statistical-type terms, it could also include a discussion of some of the software facilities in use in dealing with massive data sets (HADOOP, Tableau, etc.). A benefit of this future standard is to shorten the learning curve for a big data hopeful. This paper describes the initial steps in addressing the terminology challenges with big data and offers some descriptions of forthcoming products to assist practitioners eager to plunge into this area.
 Feature: Agile Teams: A Look at Agile Project Management Methods
Key Words:
agile, scrum, project managment
Abstract:
This article presents a discussion of agile project management including scrum methodology. We see tremendous value that can be gained by the use of agile methods along with existing project management frameworks. Although agile lacks a systems focus, the agile principles apply directly to managing smaller projects within enterprise-level initiatives. Analytics and data science projects are often exploratory in nature, require cross-functional teams to work together, and the scope is often developed through team discovery. Thus, we see agile methods as particularly suited to moving analytics and data science projects forward, preventing backlogs and roadblocks that can occur due to uncertainty and poor communication.